Thursday, November 26, 2015

Golez: Turkey has the advantage of Geography in the Syria battlefield: Russia and Turkey are evenly matched

Golez: Turkey has the advantage of Geography in the Syria battlefield:

Russia and Turkey are evenly matched (conventionally)...


Most of the world must be scratching their heads in disbelief when Turkey shot down that SU-24 a few days ago.

Ankara is challenging Moscow militarily? Has Erdogan lost his Mind?

I myself had my doubts. So I quickly checked what each side has, in case of an All-Out Conventional War.

And surprisingly, they appear to be evenly matched.

But do not take my word for it, judge for yourself. Here are the stats:

1. Fighter Aircraft
    Turkey - 230
    Russia - 880

2. Main Battle Tanks
    Turkey - 1,680
    Russia - 2,270

3. Ground Troops
    Turkey - 395,000
    Russia - 314,000

Now, the above figures are on a total basis. While Erdogan has the luxury of deploying everything he has in a conventional war in his own backyard, Putin has to allocate some of his forces to protect Russia against potential threats coming from Western Europe (i.e. other NATO members) and the Far East (i.e. China).

So if you want to make a realistic comparison, every Russian figure above should first be divided by three (3). This would significantly tilt the odds in Erdogan's favor, in terms of both Main Battle Tanks and Ground Troops.

This is a worrying thought for two (2) reasons:

1. It might tempt Erdogan to send Tanks and Troops into Syria to protect Syrian Turkmen, and;

2. It might tempt Putin to reach for the Nuclear Button once he gets badlly mauled conventionally by Erdogan in Syria.

The US and NATO must quickly find a Win-Win Solution before Czar Putin and Sultan Erdogan can come to blows...


#Turkey
#Russia
#Syria
#SU24Downing
#WorldWar3
#Doomsday
#NuclearArmaggedon

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