ROILO GOLEZ, Philippine National Security Adviser (2001-2004). The world and the Philippines as Roilo Golez sees it. With focus on national security, geopolitics, geo-security, economics, science and government.
Sunday, October 23, 2016
Why Asian Nations Should Be Cautious About China ? Central tibetan Administration
Why Asian Nations Should Be Cautious About China ?
(October 22, 2016, Chennai, Sri Lanka Guardian) There is no doubt that China is rapidly emerging as a super power with it’s economy now being second largest in the world . With it’s size, land area and huge natural wealth and aided by rapid economic, industrial growth and military strength, the ten trillion dollar economy of China is forging ahead .
Inspite of some problems in rebalancing the growth and reducing the nation’s fiscal deficit, China’s third quarter GDP growth during the current year is around 6.7 % which only indicates that Chinese economy promises to improve with several policy initiatives of Chinese government. Obviously, Chinese government is growing in confidence.
Suspicious relationship between China and several neighbours :
In normal circumstances, the growing economy of China should create lot of opportunities for the neighbouring countries and smaller nations in Asia by promoting trade openings and collaboration opportunities. However, confidence would develop in them, only if the Chinese government would reassure the neighbours that it has no territorial ambitions and it would respect the sovereignty and rights of the neighbouring countries. Unfortunately, this has not happened.
On the other hand, China has territorial problems with several Asian neighbours, which has created tension in the region. China has created suspicions and sense of unease about it’s intentions amongst number of Asian countries such as India, Phillipines, Vietnam, Japan ,causing apprehensions as to whether strong China would be a source of threat for them .
Territorial greed of China not in doubt :
There is serious conflict between China and Philippines with regard to South China Sea. In July 2016, an arbitral tribunal constituted under Annex VII of the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea ruled against China’s maritime claims. However, China refused to acknowledge the tribunal and abide by it’s ruling
There is Senkaku Islands dispute between Japan and China. China, unmindful of the protest from Japan , has unilaterally set up the “East China Sea Air Defense Identification Zone” , which includes the Senkaku Islands. China announced that it would require all aircraft entering the zone to file a flight plan and submit radio frequency and other information.
There is dispute between China and Vietnam due to China’s build-up on its seven reclaimed islands in the Spratlys archipelago.Vietnam’s military strategists fear that the building of runways, radars and other military installations on those holdings have left Vietnam’s southern and island defences increasingly vulnerable.
China has serious border disputes with India . China is not only occupying Indian territory but it is also claiming Arunachal Pradesh , an Indian province as part of China.
China’s move to construct a massive dam in Brahmaputra river, that would create water problem for north east India and Bangladesh, is a serious issue waiting to develop.
In all the above cases of disputes involving China and it’s Asian neighbours, the root cause is China’s territorial ambitions and it’s greed to bring more territory under China’s control.
China’s aggression in Tibet :
China’s forced occupation of Tibet has disturbed the conscience of the world but China remains unrepentant. The act of forcibly entering Tibet by China is nothing but aggression of the worst kind and many people think that it represents the expansionist mindset of Chinese government. China’s occupation of Tibet is a case of triumph of evil over good.
In spite of the world wide criticism and disapproval of it’s occupation of Tibet, China is defying the world opinion with all the force at it’s command to suppress any demand from Tibetans and friends of Tibet around the world to gain freedom for Tibet.
Aware of the fact that the world has not reconciled itself to China’s occupation of Tibet, China vigorously opposes any move anywhere to recognize the struggle of the Tibetans for freedom and it applies enormous pressure on other countries to prevent them from even expressing support to the Tibetan cause. The fact that Sri Lanka , a Buddhist country, denied visa to the Dalai Lama and President Obama chose to receive the Dalai Lama through the back door, fearing protest from China, only show the extent of determination of China to defend it’s aggression in Tibet.
Will Pakistan be a victim of China’s greed for territory ?
To placate China , Pakistan gifted away a portion of disputed Kashmir Territory ( what India calls as Pakistan occupied Kashmir ) to China. Many people seem to think that China’s dominating relationship with Pakistan will create more problems for Pakistan in the long run , as China appears to be bent upon brow beating the Asian neighbours.
46 billion dollar Chinese investment in Pakistan’s economic corridor really represents Chinese strategic and economic interest, solely focussed on what would benefit China. Most of the money is expected to be spent on the economic corridor itself which includes roads, railway lines and other infrastructure including the road that will link Kashgar to Gwadar that will provide easy link for China to Pakistan.
Chinese are too savvy to invest in such massive project , without counting the geo political and geo strategic returns that China would get.
With China actively involved in building up massive economic corridor with Pakistan and with Pakistan economy remaining so weak and with considerable political unrest prevailing in Pakistan , it is bound to find sooner or later that it is almost entirely dependent on China in variety of ways.
So far ,there is no indication that Pakistan is aware of such an eventuality , as it is pledging itself for the economic corridor with Chinese support , without duly reviewing China’s tactics in dealing with it’s neighbours, which is solely oriented to expand the territories of China. Pakistan appears to be taking a calculated risk.
China need to be contained
With territorial ambition of China becoming increasingly clear and China’s developing confidence that it would be a super power in the world, the Asian neighbours have a lot to fear from China in the coming years. They need to exercise caution in working out their relationship with China.