Wednesday, November 9, 2016

What does a Trump presidency mean for PH? A collection of views Research by Ivy Jean Vibar, ABS-CBN News

What does a Trump presidency mean for PH? A collection of views

Research by Ivy Jean Vibar, ABS-CBN News
Posted at Nov 09 2016 06:36 PM | Updated as of Nov 10 2016 01:43 AM
MANILA – What will the victory of Republican candidate Donald Trump in the US presidential race mean for the Philippines, especially as President Rodrigo Duterte's administration pivots the country towards Asia?
Officials and political experts give their two cents.
- The Philippines may need to further diversify its allies, in order to cope with the policies of a Trump administration in the US, and prevent a “crash when the country you depend on is in trouble.” Economic Planning Secretary Ernesto Pernia
Trump's protectionist policies, which seek an “inward-looking American economy”, could hurt remittances from overseas Filipinos and US firms' outsourcing operations in the Philippines. Economic Planning Secretary Ernesto Pernia
- The Philippines and other “strategic partners” may be at a disadvantage because of Trump’s “protectionist” attitude. Former envoy to the US Jose Cuisia Jr. 
- Military and strategic relations may be given less importance under a Trump administration since the Republican candidate has been open about shifting his focus to the US. Former PH envoy to the US Jose Cuisia Jr.
- Business relations with the US will continue to be “robust” and “very exciting. Special envoy for trade Jose E.B. Antonio, Century Properties Group Chairman and CEO
- Trump may need to “play hardball” with the Philippines as Duterte pushes for an independent foreign policy. Political analyst Ramon Casiple
- Southeast Asians may be expected to “pay” for the peace that Americans can bring, and forget about President Barack Obama’s ambitious “pivot” to the Asia-Pacific. The Trans-Pacific Partnership will be history given Trump’s nationalistic and protectionist leanings. Karim Raslan – ASEAN expert
- The US may be more assertive in terms of foreign policy. Trump already stated that he calls the action of China [in the South China Sea] illegal. Trump quoted the Hague decision, and said that he will build up the naval forces of the US, and show force. Former Defense Secretary Roilo Golez on ANC
- For the short and medium term the US will be looking more inward so the Philippines will have to adjust its expectations regarding the US’ role in this part of the region. UP Political Science Department Assistant Professor Ranjit Rye on ANC
- - The US will likely further disengage in Southeast Asia, in terms of security and foreign policy, but will perhaps continue to engage in the region’s economics. Aries Arugay, University of the Philippines (UP) Political Science professor and Executive Director of the Institute for Strategic and Development Studies, Inc
- The business process outsourcing industry may retreat from countries like the Philippines and India towards the US, but this may require more resources because it is more efficient to establish those here. Dr. Aries Arugay.

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